My Position Sizing, a Guide:
(position sizing = what % of your account you risk on a trade)
I personally use a combination of conviction-based sizing and pyramiding, meaning I sized based on how strong my thesis is + add size as the trade works.
Here's a loose version of my style, as it applies to a+ setups.
To start, I have zero problem putting 35%+ of my account into a high conviction, thematic long idea in a strong market environment.
So let's say we have one of those situations in front of us.
I have a $100K account, and I am putting up $35K for this trade.
Starter position is typically 10-25% of full position, with entry during a basing of price or a retest of prior breakout at key levels.
Stoploss is a daily candle close below those predetermined levels, usually around <5% on commons...so essentially you're only risking 5% of the starter position (<2% total risk to acct).
Next add is another 20-30% of position size, and again I'm *pyramiding*, so only adding as the trade proves me right (usually on higher lows).
> breakouts holding
> pullbacks bought
> relative strength
> thematic leader
> key levels respected
I'm adding on weakness within a strong uptrend on a leader.
Next is the meaty add....typically increasing position 35-45% to position size, now I'm roughly at 80-90% of my full position.
By this point:
- the trend is solid/established
- the market is confirming
- stock is behaving
I tack on the last 10% of the position on any flushes within the trend or shakeouts that hold structure.
Full $35K position now.
But you're probably thinking: 1) where does my stoploss move to? 2) when do I exit?
Well as you are adding / increasing position sizing, you raise your stop to reduce risk.
Simple example:
- starter entry at $100, stop at $95 (risking 5%)
- second add at $110 on a dip
now instead of keeping stop at $95…
you might move it up to:
- $100 (breakeven on starter)
- or higher depending on structure
So now you’ve increased size, without increasing total risk.
For exiting + scaling out, I usually take profit for a few reasons:
> any abnormal extension from trend (ex: stock pops 15% on news)
> if the catalyst has passed
> thesis fundamentally changes
> momentum starts to stall (in theme or mkt env)
> I hit my price target or level
...else I stay in.
I can go into this more in depth, but here are some youtube videos on pyramiding + similar strategies.
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