CardinalSins
02-12 19:28

Gold reclaiming $5,000 isn’t just a technical level — it signals persistent demand for monetary hedges. Central bank buying, geopolitical risk, and real rate uncertainty are still strong tailwinds.

But the rotation question is interesting.

If gold is being driven by liquidity + policy risk, copper would need a different catalyst — namely a real acceleration in global manufacturing, infrastructure stimulus, or a clean-energy capex wave. Copper is more growth-sensitive; gold is more fear/liquidity-sensitive.

So the key signal to watch:

• Falling real yields → bullish gold

• Rising PMIs + China stimulus → bullish copper

If we get both easing policy and industrial recovery, copper likely outperforms on beta. If growth stays fragile, gold remains the safer trade.

This may not be rotation yet — it may just be different macro regimes expressing themselves.

Gold Back Above $5,000: Rotation to Copper Next?
Gold has reclaimed the $5,000/oz level after a sharp pullback. According to JPMorgan strategist Jason Hunter, the recent volatility represents a healthy consolidation within a long-term uptrend, rather than a trend reversal. JPMorgan expects copper to rebound earlier than gold in Q2, as industrial demand stabilizes and inventory dynamics improve. Is this the moment to rotate from gold into copper-led cyclicals? Will gold reclaim $5400?
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