Subramanyan
15:54

My 2 cents: there is a state of flux in DBS viz. declining net interest margins (NIM) and robust shareholder returns' expectations. Therefore, while profit taking is natural after a massive rally, structural shifts in its revenue model and aggressive capital return policies are mitigating the risk of a full-scale  movement out of the stock.

Further, sharply lower interest rates and a stronger SGD have begun compressing NIMs, with management expecting 2026 net profit to be slightly below the record 2025 levels. Also, the P/B ratio is now 2.4x as against historical 1.4x. Overall, it is natural for investors to consider UOB & OCBC which still have P/B in the range of 1.55x or below. But that is no cause for panic - if anything it is too much of a good run for DBS & a chance to diversify into other bank stocks for customers. 

DBS Q4 Profit -10%: More Decline On The Way With Record High?
DBS Group shares slipped 1.9% intraday after Q4 net profit fell ~10% YoY to S$2.36B, missing consensus S$2.52B. Net interest margin compressed sharply to 2.34% (vs 2.77%), offsetting strong +13.5% fee income growth. While full-year profit dipped 3.2%, total dividends jumped 38% to S$3.06, supported by capital return payouts through 2027. After a ~60% rally since last April and a recent record high, investors are reassessing rate headwinds versus capital returns. Is this just post-earnings digestion—or the start of a deeper bank rotation?
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