$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Advanced Micro Devices delivered a rollercoaster this week that left traders reeling π΅βπ«. After smashing Q4 2025 expectations with record $10.3B revenue and $1.53 EPS, the stock still got obliterated β plunging 17% in one session as guidance spooked the market. Shares gapped down hard, wiped out weeks of gains, and triggered memories of the brutal 2018 crypto-mining hangover. But today, on February 6, the stock is fighting back with a solid rebound above $200 π. Soβ¦ 2018 redux or classic overreaction?
Letβs break it down with fresh numbers and zero hype.
π₯ What Actually Happened in Q4 2025
The beat was undeniable β . Data center (AI GPUs + EPYC CPUs) carried the show again, with cloud giants and enterprises loading up. Full-year revenue hit $34.6B β up 34% β proving AMD is still stealing share in high-margin segments.
But the guidance lit the fuse π:
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Sequential drop from record Q4 (normal seasonality + no repeat China boost)
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Investors wanted explosive AI inflection NOW
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Geopolitical noise around China exports added fear
Result? Capitulation selling. Biggest one-day rout in over 7 years.
π©Έ Flashback to 2018: Same Vibes? In 2018 AMD soared 200%+ on crypto GPU frenzy, then crashed >50% when mining demand evaporated overnight. Similarities today:
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Hype-fueled run (AI this time π€)
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Heavy reliance on one booming end-market
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Sky-high expectations leaving zero margin for error
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Crowded trade = violent unwinds
If AI capex slows or Nvidia keeps crushing, the bears might be right π¬.
π The Bull Case: Why This Dip Screams Opportunity Plenty of heavyweights are calling the selloff overdone:
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KeyBanc notes Turin CPUs basically sold out for all of 2026
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Multiple analysts lifting targets to $300+ zone
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30 out of 45 covering analysts rate it Strong Buy
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MI350 ramp starts H1 2026, MI450 in H2 β multi-year AI pipeline intact
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Valuation now reasonable after the washout (forward P/E compressed hard)
Todayβs rebound above $200 shows buyers stepping in fast. High-volume capitulation days like this have historically marked intermediate bottoms for AMD.
π Quick Price Action Snapshot (Last Few Weeks)
visualize the volatility yourself! Hereβs simple chart to plot the ride:
Bottom line: AMDβs long-term AI story is still very much alive. The China noise and sequential guide created the perfect storm for a shakeout. History says these moments are where fortunes get made π°.
Are you buying this dip or waiting for more pain? Drop your take below β¬οΈπ³οΈ
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π Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
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