Warsh Takes Over the Fed! Can Gold Safeguard $5000?

Tiger_comments
01-30
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The precious metals market has been wilder than crypto these past two days. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ saw a nearly $500 intraday swing on Thursday, crashing from a record high of $5,596 to $5,105, then somehow bouncing back $300. At one point, minute-by-minute moves exceeded $100.

$XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$ joined the chaos too, with an intraday drop of over $10 at its worst.

Today, gold is down another 6%, breaking key support levels and plunging back toward $5,000 in a flash.

CME has already raised margin requirements, and the warning light is flashing: liquidity is drying up.

Kevin Warsh is Coming! Stronger USD = Weaker Gold

Trump announces his pick for the next Fed Chair - Kevin Warsh.

So why is the market so scared?

Warsh is widely known as a hardline hawk. He has openly criticized the current Fed for mishandling inflation and has pushed back against QE (quantitative easing). Rate-cut expectations could evaporate, and the liquidity tide could retreat fast.

⚠️ Cathie Wood: “The Bubble Isn’t AI — It’s Gold.”

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood just issued a warning: Gold-to-M2 ratio is at its highest level since the Great Depression (1934).

In her view, this parabolic move may be near the end of its cycle — and if the dollar regains strength, it could pop the gold bubble.

Her shock call: Gold could drop as much as 60% in a full unwind.

UBS Still Bullish… But Catching the Knife Looks Dangerous

UBS still sees gold reaching $6,200 this year — but with liquidity drying up and the risk of a hawkish Fed Chair looming, the short-term risk of “catching a falling knife” is extremely high.

💬 Community question

In this wave, are you holding the long or hitting the short?

✅ Bulls: “UBS is right — this is just a technical pullback. $6,200 is still the target.”

❌ Bears: “Cathie called it — Warsh = the end of gold. The bubble is about to burst.”

Can gold defend the $5,000 level? Or is the real flush only getting started?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins~

Gold Rebounds Strongly! Is the Bull Market Back on Track?
After two days of sharp selloffs, gold and silver staged a strong rebound. Spot gold climbed back above $4,800/oz, rising more than 3% intraday, while silver surged 5% to reclaim the $83 level. The bounce comes amid extreme volatility across risk assets, as investors reassess positioning after forced liquidations and margin stress earlier in the week. Is this rebound signaling a renewed rally? Or are gold and silver still vulnerable to further volatility ahead?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • Shyon
    01-30
    Shyon
    From my perspective, this move feels less like a normal pullback and more like a liquidity-driven shakeout. When gold starts swinging $100 per minute and CME has to hike margins, that’s not fundamentals talking — that’s leverage being forcefully unwound. Once liquidity dries up, even the strongest narratives get punished first.

    The Kevin Warsh factor matters here. A hawkish Fed Chair candidate immediately reprices the entire rate and USD path, and gold is extremely sensitive to that shift. I don’t fully buy a 60% crash scenario, but I do agree with Cathie Wood on one thing: this rally went parabolic, and parabolic moves don’t correct gently.

    For now, I’m not rushing to catch the knife. The $5,000 level is critical — if it stabilizes with volume and volatility cools, that’s a different conversation. Until then, I’m staying patient, respecting the downside risk, and letting the market show its hand before committing long again.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

  • icycrystal
    01-30
    icycrystal
    @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal @nomadic_m @SPACE ROCKET @Barcode @rL @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @HelenJanet @LMSunshine

    Can gold defend the $5,000 level? Or is the real flush only getting started?


    Leave your comments to win tiger coins~

  • icycrystal
    01-30
    icycrystal
    Gold is currently in a high-stakes standoff at the $5,000 level. After a massive nine-day rally that saw prices explode nearly 21% to hit record highs near $5,600 on Jan 29, 2026, the market is undergoing a sharp correction.

    If gold closes the week above $5,000, the "buy on dips" narrative likely remains intact with an eye toward $5,300.

    If it fails, the correction could expand significantly as late buyers are forced out of their positions.

    which way would it swing [Thinking] [Thinking] [Thinking] [Doubt] [Doubt] [Doubt] [Helpless] [Helpless] [Helpless]

  • 1PC
    02-01
    1PC
    🐯 Warsh & Gold $5,000 Defense. Gold swung nearly $500 intraday, breaking support as liquidity dried up. With Warsh’s hawkish stance, stronger USD = weaker gold, CME raising margins, volatility is extreme. Cathie Wood warns of a bubble unwind, UBS still sees $6,200.🎯My stance: I’ll hold the long — waiting for stabilization around $5,000 before scooping for the rebound.[Cool] @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel
    • koolgal: 
      Brilliant idea 👍👍👍
  • koolgal
    01-31
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟The Golden Gamble: Bull vs Bear in the Warsh era.  Gold is plummeting faster like a rock to the bottom of the ocean, currently around USD 4860/Oz. 

    Bull: Buy the dip.  Central banks are buying Gold to diversify away from the dollar.  Global tensions especially in Iran means Gold is a safe haven asset to buy and hold in tumultuous times.

    Bear:  Gold is a bubble. A Warsh led Fed will fight inflation with a stronger dollar & possibly lower interest rates.  When the US dollar strengthens , Gold as an unyielding  asset looks less attractive.

    The Verdict:  The current emotive market reaction is certainly bearish.  Whether you should hold Gold or sell is a multi million dollar question.

    The smart money is waiting for the dust to settle, watching if Warsh's historic hawkishness outweighs his recent dovish comments on interest rates.

    In this volatile market, the only thing more volatile than Gold might be Trump's next word.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub

  • MHh
    02-01
    MHh
    Gold has no intrinsic growth potential. It is all about supply and demand. The price action is all speculative with demand outstripping supply with no real fundamentals to support the frenzy rise.


    So, it can swing either way depending on how policies pan out.


    Based on the latest inflation data and strong labour market, rate cuts seem unlikely for now. As long as rate cuts remain steady, I believe the bubble for gold will pop. Of course, it is important for the uncertainties to remain steady or reduced as gold has always been as a safe haven in such times.


    The next few months will reveal what is going to happen to gold. I don’t think in the short term gold will be able to defend the $5000 level as many would be rushing to cash out to secure their profits. It is always better to make less than not make anything. One can always buy back later if one wants it in their portfolio but I do think gold will slip back close to historical levels.
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