πŸ“ˆβš™οΈπŸ§  $TSLA holds structure as big tech reprices πŸ§ βš™οΈπŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰ $AVGO cracks on expectations as $ORCL selloff ripples through the tape

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12-13 01:22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 

⚑ Intraday volatility, liquidity exposed

I’m watching $TSLA trade through extreme intraday volatility and still refuse to break structure. A roughly $19 move in about 90 minutes is wild even by Tesla standards, but that violence mattered. It flushed weak hands, reset leverage, and immediately exposed where real liquidity was sitting.

⏱️ Early strength, macro drag later

Early in the session, $TSLA was up about 3.5%, pressing higher before being dragged lower as the broader tape cracked. That distinction matters. This was not a Tesla-specific failure. This was correlation, expectations, and liquidity repricing as Big Tech reacted to earnings digestion elsewhere, led by $ORCL.

πŸ“Š Options flow, size tells the story

In the first 30 minutes of the open, roughly $56M of net calls flowed into $TSLA. That is not noise. That is size. That is positioning hitting while volatility was elevated, with cross-asset stress rising as correlations across Mag 7 tightened.

🧠 BX-Trender, control check

The BX-Trender flipped into what I call a short-term middle finger pattern. Sellers pushed, price absorbed, and control never meaningfully transferred. That signal does not predict direction, it tells you who is failing.

🧲 Gamma mechanics, why the squeeze happened

I’m focused on the fact that $TSLA traded above this week’s largest call wall earlier in the session. Above that zone, dealer hedging flips into positive gamma behaviour. Dealers are forced to buy strength instead of fading it. That explains the sharp upside acceleration before macro pressure hit. When the tape turned risk-off, that same positioning unwound mechanically. This was plumbing, not emotion.

🎯 Execution zone, no hesitation

The $458.20–$460.90 zone was the execution tell. IHS and boom. Price respected it cleanly and moved fast. No hesitation, no mercy. These are liquidity-aligned moves, not trend chasing. I hope you caught it!

🟒 Relative strength under pressure

What stood out to me was relative strength. While the broader market sold off on $ORCL and Mag 7 was largely a boring grind, $TSLA stayed green for a large part of the session. That is not luck. That is demand expressing itself even as risk is reduced elsewhere.

🧩 Market truth

Price is never random. It is always reacting to incentives, liquidity, and time.

πŸ“‰ $ORCL, the first crack

The $ORCL selloff was the first crack. Despite strong cloud growth, elevated AI capex expectations and longer-dated infrastructure timelines forced the market to reprice certainty. Once Oracle rolled, correlation spiked and Big Tech risk was reduced across the board. Tesla was pulled with the tide, not rejected on its own fundamentals or structure.

🧨 $AVGO, perfection meets reality

$AVGO is where expectations finally cracked, hard. Broadcom did everything right on paper. Clean Q4 beat. Record $18B sales. Raised Q1 guidance. AI reinforced. And yet the stock reversed sharply mid-call.

This was not about results. It was about expectations.

AI revenue carries lower gross margins, while non-AI Q1 sales were guided flat. After a roughly 75% YTD run, the market was priced for acceleration, not stabilisation. When perfection stopped expanding, the tape reacted. $AVGO sliding about 8% reignited valuation anxiety across AI-linked mega-cap. Citi reiterates Buy and expects recovery. Both can be true. But the reset still matters.

πŸ“‰ Context matters

The $AVGO pullback looks dramatic in isolation, but zoom out and the YTD price chart tells the story. A 75% run compressed future returns forward. This was not a collapse, it was the market removing the last layer of perfection pricing.

πŸ“ˆ Trend check, structure intact

Despite the intraday violence, the 5-day swing model remains bullish. The grind higher remains intact. Risk has been tested, not invalidated.

🐳 Long-dated conviction

On the options side, I’m tracking a $TSLA position now carrying about $5.1M in premium. More importantly, someone stepped in with roughly $3.3M into the $470 calls expiring 02Jan2026. That is not a punt. That is long-dated conviction, layered on top of consistently call-heavy flow.

🌏 EV complex confirmation

Zooming out, the EV complex confirmed momentum. On Friday, new energy vehicle stocks gained traction. Tesla rose over 2% and briefly more than 3% early. $XPEV gained over 1%, $LI advanced more than 2%, $NIO added over 1.6%, and $RIVN surged more than 16%. This is rotation plus narrative alignment, not coincidence.

πŸš— Product execution still wins

On the product side, Tesla’s Model Y reclaimed the top SUV sales spot with 47,132 units, overtaking Xiaomi’s YU7. The refreshed Model Y lineup matters, but availability matters more. Xiaomi faces delivery delays of up to 28 weeks due to production bottlenecks. Inventory pushes help, but execution still decides market share.

πŸ”„ Retail rotation, quietly underway

I’m also watching flow data showing retail investors fading the Mag 7 since midyear and rotating toward ETFs instead. This is not panic. It is maturation. A generation of investors is diversifying exposure rather than concentrating risk in single names.

The VandaTrack data makes it clear. Retail is steadily reducing Mag 7 concentration while allocating more capital to ETFs. This isn’t fear. It’s portfolio evolution, and it explains why single-name earnings shocks now ripple faster across the tape.

🧭 Bottom line

That backdrop explains why $AVGO and $ORCL weigh on sentiment, while $TSLA continues to act as a liquidity magnet, a gamma vehicle, and a structural battleground rather than a long-only exit.

I’m not seeing a broken Tesla story. I’m seeing a market repricing expectations in real time. Tesla remains a volatility engine and a positioning tell. When Big Tech cracks, the strongest names are the ones that reveal how the market is really set up.

And $TSLA is still talking.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πŸ“ˆπŸš€πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€

@Tiger_comments @Tiger_Earnings @TigerPicks @TigerWire @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerObserver 

Broadcom Beats, Yet Misses AI Dream: Is AI Narrative Fading?
Despite the positive earnings results, Broadcom’s stock fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. One key reason: the company revealed that it currently has $73 billion worth of AI product backlogs, a number that left some investors disappointed. ----------- Is Semiconductor dip a buying opportunity or not? Has market abandoned AI narrative? How do interepret AVGO's earnings?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Kiwi Tigress
    12-13 04:57
    Kiwi Tigress
    yeah ngl this post made the tape make way more sense. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ going wild but still holding structure felt confusing till you broke down the gamma and flow side of it. kinda wild how $Broadcom(AVGO)$ can do everything right and still get smacked just on expectations. lowkey feels like the whole market vibe is shifting, less hype more positioning. fr this was one of those posts you read twice and it clicks. Let’s gooooo $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€
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      πŸ€–πŸ¦ΎπŸ”‹ πŸš˜πŸ€–πŸŸ© Κœα΄€α΄˜α΄˜Κ TESLA α΄›Κ€α΄€α΄…ΙͺΙ΄Ι’ α΄€Κœα΄‡α΄€α΄…! α΄„Κœα΄‡α΄‡Κ€s, Κ™α΄„ πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
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      🩡 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟒
    • Barcode:Β 
      KT, that’s the right read. Once you see gamma and flow, the price action stops feeling random and starts feeling mechanical. Diamond Momentum curling higher πŸ’Ž $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is absolutely primed to test it. It’s right under 2025 major resistance with an ATH weekly close on the daily chart πŸ“ˆπŸ’ΉπŸ“Š
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      πŸ™πŸΌ Thanks for going through my post KT. Every reader who engages with these ideas helps sharpen the market lens we’re all trying to look through together.
  • Queengirlypops
    12-13 09:11
    Queengirlypops
    ok but this post actually went hard. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ parked just under major 2025 resistance.
    All-time high weekly close βœ”οΈ It’s primed ⛽️ after it got dragged, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ doing the perfect earnings thing and still dumping, $Oracle(ORCL)$ cracking first, it all lines up when you talk flow and gamma. like this isn’t panic this is the regime shifting in real time, volatility everywhere, structure still holding, liquidity pockets doing their thing. markets really said no more easy mode, you gotta read the tape now not the headlines, momentum vibes but smarter πŸ§ƒ
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      πŸ€–πŸ¦ΎπŸ”‹ πŸš˜πŸ€–πŸŸ© Κœα΄€α΄˜α΄˜Κ TESLA α΄›Κ€α΄€α΄…ΙͺΙ΄Ι’ α΄€Κœα΄‡α΄€α΄…! α΄„Κœα΄‡α΄‡Κ€s, Κ™α΄„ πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
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      🩡 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟒
    • Barcode:Β 
      Q, love that take. This market is rewarding people who read positioning and liquidity, not just vibes. That shift is the whole story right now.
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      πŸ™πŸΌ Thanks for taking the time to read my post Q, it means a lot to share the journey with sharp minds like yours!
  • Cool Cat Winston
    12-13 09:56
    Cool Cat Winston
    What stood out in your post was how cleanly you separated signal from noise. The $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ volatility looked chaotic on the surface, but your framing around liquidity pockets and gamma explained why structure held. That $Broadcom(AVGO)$ reaction felt less about earnings and more about regime shift after an extended momentum run. I’m seeing similar flow dynamics in $Microsoft(MSFT)$ lately, where positioning matters more than prints. This kind of cross asset read is exactly how to stay grounded when correlations tighten.
  • Hen Solo
    12-13 09:47
    Hen Solo
    This was a great breakdown of why volatility does not equal failure. The way you explained $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ absorbing flow while big tech repriced made the tape make sense. That liquidity pocket above the call wall was obvious in hindsight once gamma flipped. I’m seeing similar mechanics in $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ where support is less about price and more about dealer positioning. The macro context you added around retail rotation tied it together nicely.
  • Tui Jude
    12-13 09:38
    Tui Jude
    I like how you framed this as expectations repricing rather than breakdown. The $Oracle(ORCL)$ move set the macro tone and everything else followed through correlation and flow. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ felt like a textbook case of resistance being tested after a long momentum phase. I’m watching $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ through the same lens right now, strong earnings history but very sensitive to gamma and Vanna as positioning builds. Your post nailed that distinction between structure and sentiment.
  • PetS
    12-13 09:24
    PetS
    Your take on $Broadcom(AVGO)$ really resonated. Earnings were solid but the market clearly cared more about margins and forward expectations. That YTD move left very little room for error. The way you linked that to broader regime change and retail flow rotation was sharp. I’ve noticed $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ behaving in a similar way recently, strong fundamentals but much more sensitive to cross asset volatility and flow than before.
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