bennyser
11-18

Yes, a 50% drop is possible, but not guaranteed.


Why it could happen


Macro risk – inflation, high interest rates, recession fears, or market shocks could trigger big sell-offs.


High volatility & leverage – Bitcoin markets are thin; if leveraged positions get liquidated, prices can fall fast.


Cycle cooling down – Post-halving cycles often include big pullbacks.


Regulation risk – New rules or crackdowns could scare investors.


Why it might NOT happen


Strong institutional support – ETFs, corporate treasuries, and big funds provide buying strength.


Adoption continues – Bitcoin is still seen as “digital gold” by many investors.


Long-term holders help stabilize price during corrections.


Overall


A 50% drop is possible, especially if macro economy turns bad.


But strong institutional buying makes a full crash less likely than in past cycles.


Good to be cautious, manage risk, and avoid too much leverage.

BTC Slides: Can it Hold $85K or Head to $70K?
Strategy poured nearly $1 billion into Bitcoin for a second consecutive week, continuing to add to its position as crypto prices pulled back. The pioneer of the “digital asset treasury” strategy saw its shares fall more than 8% on Monday, closing at $162.08 in New York. Bitcoin at one point slid 3.7% to $85,171, still down about 30% from its early-October record high of $126,000. Can Bitcoin hold key support levels this week? Will MSTR test the $150 level again? Would you stay firmly invested?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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