Intel's October 23 Earnings : A New Chapter Begins

koolgal
2025-10-20

๐ŸŒŸ๐ŸŒŸ๐ŸŒŸIntel $Intel(INTC)$  Q3 earnings aren't just a quarterly checkpoint.  They are a litmus test for a company in metamorphosis.  With new CEO Lip Bu Tan stepping in since March 2025, the tone has shifted from engineering bravado to strategic recalibration.  Tan, revered for his leadership at Cadence and his venture capital acumen, now steers a legacy titan through the fog of AI disruption and foundry reinvention.

Analysts Expectations : A Loss But Less Bleeding 

Wall Street Analysts expect Intel to report a Q3 loss of USD 0.12 per share, a dramatic improvement from the USD 0.63 loss a year ago. 

Revenue is projected around USD 13.28 billion, slightly above consensus. 

Analysts remain cautious, citing competitive pressure from AMD and TSMC, but acknowledge Intel's upside if Intel's AI chips and 18A node gain traction. 

The Catalysts : Nvidia and the US Government 

2 seismic endorsements have reshaped Intel's narrative. 

Nvidia Partnership :  In September, Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  announced a USD 5 billion investment in Intel and a multi generation collaboration to co develop AI infrastructure and PC products. 

Using the NVLink, the 2 companies will fuse Intel's x86 CPU ecosystem with Nvidia's GPU dominance - creating a new hybrid architecture for hyperscale, enterprise and consumer markets. 

Trump Administration Investment :  In August the US Government took a 10% equity stake in Intel, worth USD 8.9 billion, signaling national confidence in Intel's role as a strategic pillar of American Tech sovereignty.  This isn't just funding.  It is a vote of belief, a geopolitical anchor in a fragmented semiconductor world. 

CEO Lip Bu Tan's Vision for Intel :  Streamline, Focus, Execute. 

Intel has cut 15% of its workforce, trimmed USD 18 billion in capex and set sights on 2027 foundry breakeven.  Tan's leadership is about aligning Intel's AI chips and foundry ambitions with real world demand. 

Intel's Price Targets :

Intel trades at USD 37.01, up 83% year todate. 

Tipranks : USD 36.00 Target Price, Neutral 

LongForecast : USD 54.86 by December, Bullish 

MarketBeat: USD 28.54, Cautious

Concluding Thoughts 

Intel is at an inflection point.   It is about whether a legacy giant Intel can reinvent itself under a new leadership in a world shaped by AI and national interest.   It is also about how Intel will execute its lofty goals to regain confidence from investors. 

October 23 is that moment of truth for Intel. 

@Tiger_comments  @Tiger_Earnings  @TigerStars  @CaptainTiger  @TigerClub  @Tiger_SG  


Intel Beats Sales! Above $40, Smooth Sailing Ahead?
Intel reported better-than-expected third-quarter sales, signaling that demand for its core x86 processors for PCs has recovered.Revenue: $13.65 billion versus $13.14 billion estimated EPS: 23 cents, adjusted, not comparable to analyst estimates The report is Intelโ€™s first since the U.S. government became the companyโ€™s top shareholder in August with a 10% stake.
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Comments

  • Valerie Archibald
    2025-10-21
    Valerie Archibald
    How soon they forget that INTC is losing all their business to AMD and now INTC makes no money LOL

    • koolgal:ย 
      The US market has staged a strong recovery today .
    • koolgal:ย 
      That is why Intel shares jumped over 80% year todate .
    • koolgal:ย 
      Luckily for them Intel has been given a new lease of life from NVIDIA and the Trump Administration.
    • koolgal:ย 
      All The Best ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
    • koolgal:ย 
      May you have a winning week ahead ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ
  • 1PC
    2025-10-20
    1PC
    • koolgal:ย 
      Best of luck ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
    • koolgal:ย 
      Happy Trading ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ
    • koolgal:ย 
      Appreciate your support ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜
    • koolgal:ย 
      Thanks ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜
  • ColinThorndike
    2025-10-20
    ColinThorndike
    Exciting journey
    • koolgal:ย 
      Best of luck ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
    • koolgal:ย 
      May you have a winning week ahead ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ
    • koolgal:ย 
      Thanks for sharing your insights ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜
    • koolgal:ย 
      It is now rejuvenated.
    • koolgal:ย 
      Intel has been given a new lease of life.
  • Venus Reade
    2025-10-21
    Venus Reade
    CEO Tan is finally ready to "boast" a bit on Thursday, imo. A guidance raise for Q4 and 2026 could lift the stock back to the $50-$60 range, our next target if execution continues to accelerate. Lots of people still on the wrong side of this trade, imo. We can see a big jump.
  • zuma
    2025-10-21
    zuma
    thx
    • koolgal:ย 
      ็ฅไฝ ๅฅฝ่ฟ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
    • koolgal:ย 
      ๆ„ฟไฝ ๆœ‰ไธ€ไธช่ƒœๅˆฉ็š„ไธ€ๅ‘จ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ
    • koolgal:ย 
      ๆ„Ÿ่ฐขๆ‚จ็š„ๆ”ฏๆŒ๐Ÿ’•๐Ÿ’•๐Ÿ’•
    • koolgal:ย 
      ๆˆ‘็š„่ฃๅนธ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜
  • ไธๆญป้ธŸ.
    2025-10-20
    ไธๆญป้ธŸ.
    ่ฌ่ฌๅˆ†ไบซ
    • koolgal:ย 
      All the best ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
    • koolgal:ย 
      May you have a winning week ahead ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ฐ
    • koolgal:ย 
      Appreciate your support ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜
    • koolgal:ย 
      My pleasure ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜
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