Praveenh
2025-09-30

Gold above $3,800 shows strong bullish sentiment, but investors should balance enthusiasm with caution, watching for signs of overheating or policy shifts.


🔑 Reasons Why Gold Crossed $3,800

1. Global Uncertainty

• Wars, trade tensions, and political risks push investors toward gold as a “safe haven.”

2. Central Bank Buying

• Many central banks (China, India, Russia, etc.) are buying large amounts of gold to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar.

3. Inflation & Currency Weakness

• Persistent inflation and weaker fiat currencies make gold attractive as a store of value.

4. Lower Real Yields

• Even if interest rates are high, inflation-adjusted returns (real yields) may be low or negative, making gold more appealing.

5. Investor Momentum

• Once gold broke key resistance levels (like $3,000, then $3,500), technical traders and funds piled in, fueling the rally further.

👉 In short: Gold is at $3,800 mainly because investors see it as protection against inflation, geopolitical risks, and a weakening dollar, plus strong demand from central banks.

Goldman Upside Alert: Could Gold Reclaim $5,400 This Year?
Goldman Sachs says its $5,400/oz gold target for December 2026 now carries meaningful upside risk, arguing January’s violent gold–silver swings were driven by Western capital flows, not Asian speculation. The bank highlights tight London liquidity in silver, structurally rising central-bank demand, and limited speculative positioning as signs this rally isn’t a bubble. With reserve diversification away from the dollar accelerating, Goldman is promoting an upgraded “stocks + gold” barbell, favoring precious metals over bonds as the primary hedge. Is gold being repriced for a post-dollar world?
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