🚨🔥 $AVGO: Broadcom Earnings & Wall Street Week Ahead Mega Forecast 🔥🚨

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2025-09-01

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I believe Broadcom will close in the Flat range (-5% to +5%) on September 5, most likely between $295 and $300. Earnings will be strong, but resistance at $300 and September’s historical weakness will cap the upside.

📊 Macro & Seasonality Context

September has historically been the weakest month for equities. Seasonality charts confirm:

• S&P 500: steady early, sharp fade after mid-month.

• Apple & Meta: typically drag indices lower.

• Amazon & Microsoft: relative stabilisers.

• Tesla: volatile, often resilient mid-month.

The McClellan seasonal overlay illustrates how Fed cuts, tariff shocks, and geopolitical surprises can distort the September path. This year’s critical dates include:

• Sept 5: US August payrolls, pivotal for Fed policy (89% cut probability).

• Sept 13–16: CPI, PPI, retail sales, sentiment surveys.

• Sept 16–17: Fed policy meeting.

• Sept 17–18: Trump UK visit and Bank of England decision.

Markets ended August on record highs (S&P 500 at 6,500+). Europe’s banks surged to post-GFC peaks, while AI-linked media stocks stumbled. September is the liquidity flush when managers rebalance.

📈 Broadcom (AVGO) Technical Setup

Broadcom trades at $297.39, right inside my entry zone ($316.89–$281.73).

• Resistance: $299.98.

• Support: $248.51, the key AI hardware level.

• Fibonacci retracement signals a multi-quarter correctional target near $96.12.

• Weekly chart: extended trend still intact.

• 4H chart: clustering at upper Bollinger/Keltner, flashing exhaustion.

Message from the charts: correction has started, but earnings could still fuel a short-lived test of resistance.

💰 Q3 2025 Earnings Forecast

• EPS: $1.65 vs $1.24 (+33.06% YoY).

• Revenue: $15.83B vs $13.07B (+21.06% YoY).

• EBIT: $9.95B vs $7.95B (+25.16% YoY).

Revenue has more than doubled since 2018 (16.7% CAGR). AVGO’s backbone role in AI networking is the growth driver.

📰 Recent Flow

• Analysts reaffirm buys, citing AI dominance.

• Nasdaq dip (-4.3%) showed short-term fragility, not structural weakness.

• Harbin automotive affiliate procurement irrelevant to AVGO.

🏦 Pelosi Factor

Nancy Pelosi exercised call options last year at $80, now holding 20,000 shares worth up to $5M. With gains over 70%, her position underscores institutional-level conviction.

🍏 Apple Partnership

Earlier this month, Apple pledged an additional $100 billion to U.S. manufacturing, bringing its total domestic commitment to $600 billion. CEO Tim Cook named Broadcom as a key partner in building Apple’s communications devices.

This link between Apple’s consumer hardware ecosystem and Broadcom’s hyperscaler relationships uniquely positions AVGO to straddle both consumer-facing electronics and enterprise AI infrastructure. Apple’s endorsement amplifies Broadcom’s credibility, while hyperscaler reliance cements its indispensable role in data movement, connectivity, and next-generation AI applications.

📊 AI Market Positioning

• Nvidia holds 92% of GPUs, but Broadcom owns the connectivity backbone.

• Hyperscalers (AWS, Google, Microsoft, Alibaba) rely on AVGO hardware.

• Apple’s infrastructure expansion reinforces Broadcom’s dual exposure to consumer electronics and enterprise AI build-outs.

This makes Broadcom an essential enabler of the AI era across the full technology stack.

🔮 Options & Analysts

• Options show bullish flow at $300/$320, hedges at $290/$240.

• Analysts: 29 buys, 12 recommend, 2 holds.

• PT range: $202–$400, mean $301.31, aligned with current levels.

Consensus: fairly valued short-term, but strategic AI positioning remains intact.

I believe the most likely outcome is that Broadcom will remain in the Flat range (-5% to +5%) into September 5, closing between $295 and $300. To frame it in probabilities: Flat 70%, Green (5% to 10%) 20%, Red (-10% to -5%) 10%.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_Earnings @Tiger_comments @TigerPicks @TigerPM @TigerWire @TigerObserver @TigerStars @1PC @SPACE ROCKET 

Modified in.2025-09-01
Broadcom's Stock Potential Before Sept. 4 Amid AI Boom
Broadcom, a supplier of hardware products for the AI industry, is gaining attention for its stock potential before Sept. 4. Investors are intrigued by the company's expanding portfolio and its role in powering the AI boom.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Queengirlypops
    2025-09-01
    Queengirlypops
    I believe this post is peak platinum because it balances conviction with probability weightings. AVGO trading near fair value but still riding AI momentum is a combo that explains the 70% Flat range better than any chart alone could. I like how you wove in Apple’s domestic push because it’s that blend of consumer and enterprise that’ll keep Broadcom structurally strong long term.
    • Barcode: 
      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      I like how you saw the balance between fair value and AI momentum. AVGO’s dual exposure to hyperscalers and Apple is what makes that 70 percent Flat weighting realistic. It’s not hype, it’s structural strength backed by both consumer and enterprise demand.
    • Barcode: 
      Thank you for going through my post Q. Every reader who engages with these ideas helps sharpen the market lens we’re all trying to look through together.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-09-01
    Cool Cat Winston
    📉I’m looking at your take on Broadcom’s entry zone and it makes sense to me that resistance around 300 is the key battleground. The Pelosi position really adds weight to the conviction here. Reminds me a bit of how Nvidia held firm at major levels before its last breakout.
    • Barcode: 
      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      You’re right on that 300 level, it’s where the tape gets tested. I’m watching how AVGO trades around resistance since Pelosi’s conviction adds institutional depth. It mirrors Nvidia’s last setup before it ripped higher off that consolidation shelf.
    • Barcode: 
      I appreciate you taking the time to read my post CCW. Your engagement helps push these market discussions further, and it’s always valuable to exchange perspectives on where we might be in the cycle.
  • Kiwi Tigress
    2025-09-01
    Kiwi Tigress
    That Flat call on AVGO hits different because it’s grounded in all the moving parts from Apple’s $100B manufacturing spend to Pelosi’s buy at $80. I love how you broke it down across macro, AI, and technicals without losing the narrative flow. It’s giving me the same vibe as when MSFT earnings sent shockwaves but still respected resistance.
    • Barcode: 
      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      You nailed the connection between Apple’s spend and Pelosi’s conviction trade. MSFT’s reaction at resistance is a great comparison since AVGO’s setup is fueled by both macro and AI infrastructure flow, making a Flat call into resistance the most logical outcome.
    • Barcode: 
      I appreciate you reading my article KT! Insights are always stronger when they’re part of a broader conversation, and your time spent here adds value to that dialogue.
  • Tui Jude
    2025-09-01
    Tui Jude
    What stands out for me is how you tied the Apple commitment into AVGO’s AI narrative. That link between consumer hardware and enterprise infrastructure is huge. I’ve been watching how Microsoft balances both sides of that spectrum and the parallel is striking.
    • Barcode: 
      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      I like how you caught the Apple angle, that’s the consumer to enterprise bridge that gives AVGO a moat. Microsoft’s balance across both sides is a strong parallel since Broadcom’s positioning in connectivity makes it just as indispensable.
    • Barcode: 
      I’m grateful you took a moment to go through my post TJ. The more we can exchange thoughtful ideas, the better we can navigate both the opportunities and the risks in markets like these.
  • Hen Solo
    2025-09-01
    Hen Solo
    你对持平结果的框定很清晰，因为它捕捉到了盈利势头和季节性压力。我认为当你考虑到期权流时，70%的基本情况概率是公平的。这与我们在AMD上次盈利变动之前看到的情况非常相似。
    • Barcode: 
      持平概率之所以有效，是因为期权磁带显示了看涨评级和保护性看跌期权之间的平衡。AMD在发布之前就表现出了同样的动态，AVGO现在也反映了这种情况，而盈利增长保持了基本底线完好无损。
    • Barcode: 
      H++干杯BC📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      我很感激你花时间看我的帖子。我们越能交流深思熟虑的想法，我们就能更好地驾驭这样的市场中的机遇和风险。
  • Queengirlypops
    2025-09-01
    Queengirlypops

    Great article, would you like to share it?

    • Barcode: 
      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode: 
      🙏🏼 Thanks so much for sharing this with your crew
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