$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ • Overbought s

• Overbought setup: RSI near 80 is unsustainable. Even if earnings look “okay,” stocks often sell off after big pre-earnings runs.

• Reality check: NIO is still burning cash. Losses last quarter were almost RMB 6.8B (~US$930M). A single “less bad” quarter won’t erase that.

• Peer valuation: It’s trading like it’s already profitable, so any disappointment can hit harder.

I'm shorting it now~

XPEV, NIO & LI Earnings Out: Which One Is the Best Play?

NIO is still posting losses, with a Q3 net loss of ¥3.48 billion, though this marks a narrowing of over 30%. At the same time, the company’s overall gross margin reached 13.9%, the highest in three years, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow turned positive. This time, NIO not only expressed confidence in achieving profitability in Q4 but also set more ambitious targets, aiming for full-year profitability next year. Li Auto’s Q3 revenue fell 36% year over year, with a net loss of 624 million yuan. Its Q4 guidance came in nearly 30% below expectations.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Meoooow
2025-08-25
Meoooow
如果蔚来盈利的话，它的价值就太被低估了。
股票总是有前瞻性的。
如果管理层信守支出承诺，那么这就是盈利的正确方向。尽管我更喜欢进一步削减支出以确保盈利能力。
图表只是一个指南，所以它总是可以被覆盖。
🥒🥒🥒
Meoooow
2025-08-25
Meoooow
Quite safe if you shorted above $6.90
Show your trade and you will be remembered.

🥥 🥥 🥥
Meoooow
2025-08-25
Meoooow
Good chance price drop on opening.
Remember to cover your tracks fast.
Those who have taken their profits today can buy cheaper. $6 looks good.
Expect registration numbers to be flat.

🍌 🍌 🍌
Meoooow
2025-08-25
Meoooow
Expecting many ppl buying on dip for year end's surprise with extra cash. Downside may be limited.
Don't think can see $5.50 again for this year.

🍒 🍒 🍒
Meoooow
2025-08-25
Meoooow
Congrats on your shorts.
Seems like plenty of time to cover back.
FOMOs assisting in your quest.

🥕 🥕 🥕
fibance
2025-08-25
fibance
Cool. Please share your trade

Leave a comment

376

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Losses last quarter were almost RMB 6.8B (~US$930M). A single “less bad” quarter won’t erase that. • Peer valuation: It’s trading like it’s already profitable, so any disappointment can hit harder. I'm shorting it 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your trade and you will be remembered. \n\n🥥 🥥 🥥 ","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":471383610958784,"commentId":"471383610958784","gmtCreate":1756121161369,"gmtModify":1756121166116,"authorId":3581582741176868,"author":{"id":3581582741176868,"idStr":"3581582741176868","authorId":3581582741176868,"name":"Meoooow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c0057abac9f2fb5047a719b0c0f8803f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a 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\n Remember to cover your tracks fast. \n \n Those who have taken their profits today can buy cheaper.&nbsp; $6 looks good. \n \n Expect registration numbers to be flat.\n\n🍌 🍌 🍌 ","html":"Good chance price drop on opening. \n \n Remember to cover your tracks fast. \n \n Those who have taken their profits today can buy cheaper.&nbsp; $6 looks good. \n \n Expect registration numbers to be flat.\n\n🍌 🍌 🍌 ","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":471412668994024,"commentId":"471412668994024","gmtCreate":1756128252047,"gmtModify":1756128257409,"authorId":3581582741176868,"author":{"id":3581582741176868,"idStr":"3581582741176868","authorId":3581582741176868,"name":"Meoooow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c0057abac9f2fb5047a719b0c0f8803f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a 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Downside may be limited. \n \n Don't think can see $5.50 again for this year. \n\n🍒 🍒 🍒 ","text":"Expecting many ppl buying on dip for year end's surprise with extra cash. Downside may be limited. \n \n Don't think can see $5.50 again for this year. \n\n🍒 🍒 🍒 ","html":"Expecting many ppl buying on dip for year end's surprise with extra cash. Downside may be limited. \n \n Don't think can see $5.50 again for this year. \n\n🍒 🍒 🍒 ","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":471428788941000,"commentId":"471428788941000","gmtCreate":1756132266534,"gmtModify":1756132271193,"authorId":3581582741176868,"author":{"id":3581582741176868,"idStr":"3581582741176868","authorId":3581582741176868,"name":"Meoooow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c0057abac9f2fb5047a719b0c0f8803f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3e7f6253c885de8bad6403055b76aab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":471307674923704,"objectIdStr":"471307674923704","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Congrats on your shorts. \n \n Seems like plenty of time to cover back. \n \n FOMOs assisting in your quest. \n\n🥕 🥕 🥕","text":"Congrats on your shorts. \n \n Seems like plenty of time to cover back. \n \n FOMOs assisting in your quest. \n\n🥕 🥕 🥕","html":"Congrats on your shorts. \n \n Seems like plenty of time to cover back. \n \n FOMOs assisting in your quest. \n\n🥕 🥕 🥕","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":471332351968176,"commentId":"471332351968176","gmtCreate":1756108646709,"gmtModify":1756108651464,"authorId":4087298328464920,"author":{"id":4087298328464920,"idStr":"4087298328464920","authorId":4087298328464920,"name":"fibance","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/abd2b9b00ba9e54d612f5f2f2ca7dfb2","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.33%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":471307674923704,"objectIdStr":"471307674923704","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Cool. Please share your trade","text":"Cool. Please share your trade","html":"Cool. Please share your trade","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/471307674923704"}