$GUOTAI JUNAN I(01788)$ $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 🚀⚡🔥 Tiger Brokers Poised to Roar Past $10, Hong Kong’s Crypto Pivot Adds Fresh Fuel 🔥⚡🚀

Momentum favours the prepared trader, and my 15Apr25 picked post called it. I flagged that a break above 7.65 would sling shot Tiger toward double digits. That move is unfolding in real time.

Regulatory Spark

On 24Jun25 Guotai Junan International became the first Chinese funded brokerage in Hong Kong cleared to offer direct crypto trading, advisory, and product issuance. Clients can now trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT. The share price exploded almost +198 % intraday, proving how fast valuation can rerate when digital asset revenue is unlocked.

Why It Matters for Tiger

Tiger’s Hong Kong unit already holds Type 1 (dealing), Type 4 (advisory), and Type 9 (asset management) licences. In mid May it quietly enabled crypto deposits and withdrawals, signalling full readiness to activate retail trading once the SFC signs off.

Fundamental Pulse

Q1 2025 revenue hit $122.6 M, up 55 % YoY, with net income jumping 147 % to $36 M. Quarterly trading volume reached $217.5 B, while client assets climbed to $45.9 B. CEO Wu Tianhua credits relentless product expansion and R & D for widening Tiger’s moat.

Capital Flow and Sentiment

🚨 $TIGR is running today. At the open BlackBox flagged heavy call sweeps for the 16 Jan 26 $9 strike:

• 2 000 contracts @ $2.215, $443.1 K

• 2 000 contracts @ $2.138, $427.5 K

• 1 965 contracts @ $2.128, $418.2 K

• 2 000 contracts @ $2.125, $425.1 K

That is more than $1.7 M in bullish flow within seconds. Dark pool prints continue to cluster near $9.20, and volume is already 50 % above the three month average.

Historic Validation

In Technical Tipping Point (15Apr25) I wrote, “A full break above 7.65 could unlock a massive gap above, potentially propelling the stock toward double digit territory.” The former ceiling is now firm support, and my updated harmonic pattern targets $18.70.

Technical Landscape

Price has cleared $9.10 from a long symmetrical triangle. The measured move targets $15.80, while the larger diamond harmonic projects $18.70. RSI sits at 64, showing healthy momentum. Key support zones: $8.20 then $6.60. A close above $10 could ignite a gamma chase.

Peer Context

• Tiger is up 84 % YTD, trading around 9 × forward earnings.

• Futu is up 32 % YTD, high target $82, but lacks Type 9 authority.

• Interactive Brokers is up 28 % YTD, yet its crypto rollout is US centric.

• Guotai Junan (01788.HK) surged 265 % after its licence approval, though RSI near 100 signals short term exhaustion.

Analyst Insight

Citi’s Asia fintech desk says, “Tiger’s diverse licence stack positions it to capture the first wave of regulated retail crypto trading without rewriting its core code base.” Morgan Stanley adds that its cross market integration is unrivalled among Chinese fintechs.

Contrarian Insight

Mainland capital controls worry some investors, but Hong Kong’s Wealth Connect expansion will raise southbound quotas in H2 2025. If mainland clients can access licensed crypto via Hong Kong, Tiger’s bilingual super app and global asset reach offer a clear edge.

What to Watch

• Next SFC announcements on virtual asset platform approvals

• HKMA stablecoin framework expected August 2025

• Monthly client asset updates from Tiger and Futu

Action Plan

Accumulating between $9.30 and $10.00, aiming for $12.50 first, then $15.80. I will trail stops to break even once price holds above $11.00. The stretch goal remains the $18.70 harmonic extension. For Guotai (01788) I will wait for a pullback toward HK$2.80 to 3.00 before revisiting.

Conclusion, 26Jun25, 🇳🇿NZ Time

Guotai Junan’s eruption shows how broker to crypto convergence rewrites valuations overnight, and Tiger Brokers has the licences, scale, and client base to do it bigger. A decisive close above $10 confirms the next leg toward $15.80 to 18.70. The 7.65 breakout was not merely technical, it signalled a structural shift, and this narrative still has room to run.

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