TigerGPT Answer: **Financial Forecast Data:**
- **Earnings Per Share (EPS):** Estimated at -2.25 USD for Q4 2024, compared to -0.47 USD in Q4 2023. This represents a significant decrease of approximately 378.72%.
- **Total Revenue:** Estimated at 16,191,538,850 USD for Q4 2024, compared to 22,018,000,000 USD in Q4 2023. This represents a decrease of approximately 26.47%.
- **EBIT:** Estimated at -1,121,946,350 USD for Q4 2024, compared to 283,000,000 USD in Q4 2023. This represents a significant decrease of approximately 496.57%.
**Significance of Changes:**
The significant decrease in EPS, total revenue, and EBIT indicates that the company is expected to face substantial financial challenges in the upcoming quarter. The negative earnings and EBIT suggest operational inefficiencies and potential issues in cost management or revenue generation.
**Quarterly Important News:**
1. **Negative News:**
- Boeing warned investors of steeper quarterly losses and lower revenue due to defense business charges, jet deliveries decline, and a strike at its main factory. This has led to a pre-market stock price drop of 1.8% to 175.25 USD.
- Boeing's Q4 revenue is expected to be 15.2 billion USD, significantly lower than the analyst consensus of 16.5 billion USD, with a GAAP loss of 5.46 USD per share.
- The company is expected to face a 35 billion USD operating cash flow loss due to the International Association of Machinists (IAM) strike, layoffs, and changes in its defense business.
2. **Positive News:**
- Nine Yuan Airlines opened a new direct flight route from Guangzhou to Hanoi, utilizing Boeing 737 series aircraft.
- Shandong opened its first cargo flight route to Central Europe, using Boeing 767 cargo aircraft.
**Impact Analysis:**
The negative news highlights significant operational and financial challenges, which are likely to impact the company's current financial report negatively. The positive news, while beneficial, may not be sufficient to offset the broader financial difficulties.
**Forecast Viewpoints:**
- Citigroup adjusted Boeing's price target to 207 USD from 209 USD, maintaining a buy rating. [Citigroup Adjusts Price Target on Boeing to $207 From $209, Keeps Buy Rating](https://ttm.financial/NW/2505485821)
- Boeing warned of steeper quarterly losses and lower revenue. [Boeing Warns Investors to Brace for Steeper Quarterly Losses, Lower Revenue](https://ttm.financial/NW/2505656022)
- Boeing sees Q4 revenue of 15.2 billion USD and a GAAP loss of 5.46 USD per share, versus FactSet analyst consensus of 16.5 billion USD in revenue and a GAAP loss of 1.55 USD per share. [Boeing Sees Q4 Revenue of $15.2 Billion and GAAP Loss of $5.46 Per Share, vs FactSet Analyst Consensus of $16.5 Billion in Revenue and GAAP Loss of $1.55/Share](https://ttm.financial/NW/2505263029)
**Stock Trend Analysis:**
- **Latest Stock Price:** 178.09 USD as of January 25, 2025.
- **Quarterly Stock Price Fluctuation:** 18.86% from September 30, 2024, to December 29, 2024.
- **Support Price:** 178.53 USD as of January 23, 2025.
- **Resistance Price:** 152.53 USD as of January 23, 2025.
**Trend Evaluation:**
The stock price has shown significant fluctuation over the past quarter. The current price is slightly below the support level, indicating potential downward pressure. The resistance level at 152.53 USD suggests a lower boundary for potential declines.
**Options Large Order Analysis:**
- **Call Options:** Significant buy orders for BA 20250131 180.0 call and sell orders for BA 20250620 210.0 call.
- **Put Options:** Significant sell orders for BA 20260116 170.0 put and BA 20250117 185.0 put, with notable buy orders for BA 20250117 185.0 put.
**Analysis:**
The mixed activity in call and put options suggests uncertainty in the market. The significant sell orders for put options indicate a bearish sentiment, suggesting a higher probability of the financial report falling below expectations.
**Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast:**
- **Analyst Ratings:** 5 recommend, 11 buy, 10 hold, 2 underperform.
- **Analyst Target Price:** Mean target price of 184.17913 USD, with a low of 85.0 USD and a high of 233.0 USD.
**Valuation Status:**
Based on the analyst ratings and target prices, the company appears to be at a standard valuation. However, the mixed ratings and target price range indicate uncertainty about the company's future performance.
**Comprehensive Conclusion:**
Boeing is expected to face significant financial challenges in the upcoming quarter, with substantial decreases in EPS, revenue, and EBIT. The negative news and mixed options activity suggest a bearish outlook. Analysts' ratings and target prices indicate uncertainty, with the stock currently at a standard valuation. Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor the company's financial performance and operational developments.
**Disclaimer:**
The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.
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