【亚洲策略师关注日元干预风险及科技股 称美联储鹰派信号重塑市场预期】策略师表示,美联储在新主席凯文·沃什主持的首次政策会议上采取鹰派立场后,市场正密切关注日元干预风险。美债收益率走高,对亚洲货币整体构成压力,同时亚洲央行也更难在降息的同时不触发汇率进一步贬值。墨尔本经纪商ACCM的研究总监Glenn Yin称,日元兑美元汇率穿破160关键阻力位,干预风险正在增加,而过去几年中,多次干预都发生在这一水平。美元飙升反映了沃什更为鹰派的立场,以及九名投票成员预期年底前至少会加息一次。由于澳大利亚央行在本周利率决议中采取了观望态度,这改变了澳元/美元的短期走势。,IG International市场分析师Fabien Yip称,美联储的鹰派立场重塑了全球市场的预期。通过保留进一步加息的可能性并上调通胀预期,美联储实际上已经打破了短期内的预期。“我们预计美国股市的负面情绪今天将对亚洲市场造成压力,尤其是那些对超大规模数据中心支出高度敏感的高估值科技股和人工智能基础设施股。”
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