“新美联储通讯社”:四月非农数据稳健,美联储政策重心应转向通胀

华尔街见闻05-09

有“新美联储通讯社”之称的知名财经记者Nick Timiraos撰文称:

四个月前,美联储面临的一大难题是是否需要继续降息以支撑当时看似疲软的劳动力市场。如今,这个问题已不复存在。劳动力市场趋于稳定,而受关税和伊朗战争的影响,通胀率目前正缓慢上升而非下降。

四月份的就业报告凸显了经济前景的转变,在决定美联储(目前已明确暂停加息)下一步的行动方向时,应该将重点完全放在通胀数据上。

招聘形势保持稳定,失业率没有升高,4月份收入增长稳健,所有这些都不构成宽松政策的理由。鉴于劳动力市场为美联储提供了等待的理由,政策辩论的下一步将聚焦于何时以及如何转向中性立场,即加息和降息的可能性相当。答案可能几乎完全取决于通胀数据。

据华尔街见闻此前文章,美国4月非农新增就业11.5万人大超预期,创两年来最大两月增长纪录,失业率维持在4.3%。

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