旧金山联储主席Mary Daly淡化了联储内部围绕政策声明措辞的分歧,强调委员会的行动才是真正的政策信号。
Daly周四在采访中表示,"声明的措辞不如(联邦公开市场委员会的)行动重要",并指出此次会议的真正信号在于"所有人都同意这一决定"。并表示自己不会反对投票。
上月的议息会议上,三位投票委员对会后声明中暗示未来将恢复降息的措辞提出异议。
他们认为,伊朗战争推高油价、经济前景不确定性上升,政策声明应同等权衡加息和降息两种可能性。这一罕见的多人异议引发市场对联储政策路径的关注。
能源价格冲击尚未传导至通胀预期,当前货币政策处于"轻度限制性"区
Daly表示,目前没有迹象显示能源价格飙升正在推动中长期通胀预期上行。
她指出,现阶段下结论"为时过早"。若伊朗冲突结束、油价回落且未向更广泛经济领域传导,此前的宏观经济基本面格局有望恢复。
Daly认为,当前货币政策处于"轻度限制性"区间,一旦美伊冲突化解,将对通胀形成下行压力。
同时劳动力市场保持稳定,并未产生通胀压力,为联储在观望期间提供了政策空间。
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