Is Union Pacific (UNP) Still Attractive After Recent Share Price Weakness?

Simply Wall St.03-11

If you are wondering whether Union Pacific's share price still offers value after recent moves, this breakdown will help you weigh what you are paying against what you are getting. The stock closed at...

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The stock closed at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-union-pacific-unp-still-attractive-after-recent-share-pri-1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Union Pacific (UNP) Still Attractive After Recent Share Price Weakness?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Union Pacific (UNP) Still Attractive After Recent Share Price Weakness?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-11 12:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-union-pacific-unp-still-attractive-after-recent-share-pri-1><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Union Pacific's share price still offers value after recent moves, this breakdown will help you weigh what you are paying against what you are getting. The stock closed at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-union-pacific-unp-still-attractive-after-recent-share-pri-1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1978683503.SGD","symbol_name":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-union-pacific-unp-still-attractive-after-recent-share-pri-1","article_id":"2618191370","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/310078-main-header/1756255458363"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nyse-unp/union-pacific/news/is-union-pacific-unp-still-attractive-after-recent-share-pri-1","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2618191370","pubTimestamp":1773203470,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Union Pacific's share price still offers value after recent moves, this breakdown will help you weigh what you are paying against what you are getting.\nThe stock closed at US$250.21, with a 7.9% year-to-date return and a 37.4% return over 3 years. The last 7 days showed a 5.9% decline and the last 30 days a 1.0% decline, which may have shifted how some investors think about its upside and risk.\nRecent headlines around Union Pacific have focused on its role as a...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1978683503.SGD":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","IE00BMG7P926.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Acc USD","LU1303367103.USD":"摩根大通多经理另类基金 A (acc)","IE00BMG7P819.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","IE00BMG7P702.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00B29SXL02.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) INC","IE00BMG7P694.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis USD Plus","BK4588":"碎股","LU1894683348.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS US EQUITY RESEARCH VALUE \"A2\" (USD) INC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B29SXK94.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1894683264.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS US EQUITY RESEARCH VALUE \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU2275660780.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4016":"铁路","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","IE00BD4GTV84.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus","LU0949170772.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 SGD-H","LU1861219969.SGD":"Blackrock Future of Transport A2 SGD-H","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0545039389.USD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A2\" ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1003077747.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A6\" (HKDHDG) INC","IE00BMG7P587.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOM \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0124384867.USD":"贝莱德新能源基金A2","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0661504455.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A5 SGD-H","IE00BD4GTW91.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) INC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","LU2463526074.USD":"NORDEA 1 - GLOBAL CLIMATE ENGAGEMENT \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","UNP":"联合太平洋","IE00BN8TJ469.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC"},"translate_title":"联合太平洋公司（UNP）在近期股价疲软后仍然有吸引力吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"UNP":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Union Pacific's share price still offers value after recent moves, this breakdown will help you weigh what you are paying against what you are getting. The stock closed at US$250.21, with a 7.9% year-to-date return and a 37.4% return over 3 years. The last 7 days showed a 5.9% decline and the last 30 days a 1.0% decline, which may have shifted how some investors think about its upside and risk. Recent headlines around Union Pacific have focused on its role as a major North American freight railroad and its exposure to broad economic activity. This often influences sentiment around future rail volumes and pricing power. Investors have also been watching updates on capital spending and efficiency initiatives, using these as clues about how the business could support long-term value. On our checks, Union Pacific scores a 5 out of 6 valuation score, which suggests the stock looks inexpensive on several metrics but not all. We will walk through those methods next and finish with a broader way to think about what fair value really means for long-term holders.  Find out why Union Pacific's 7.7% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Union Pacific Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model takes estimates of the cash a business could generate in the future, then discounts those cash flows back into today’s dollars to arrive at an estimate of intrinsic value per share. For Union Pacific, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flow projections. The company’s latest twelve month free cash flow is about $5.6b. Analyst projections, supplemented by Simply Wall St’s extrapolations, point to free cash flow of $6.8b in 2026 and $10.2b in 2030, with further estimates extending out to 2035, all expressed in dollar terms. Bringing these projected cash flows back to today using a discount rate gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $314.75 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $250.21, this suggests the stock trades at roughly a 20.5% discount to this DCF estimate, so it screens as undervalued on this method. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Union Pacific is undervalued by 20.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 48 more high quality undervalued stocks. UNP Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Union Pacific. Approach 2: Union Pacific Price vs Earnings The price to earnings ratio is a useful way to think about valuation for profitable companies like Union Pacific because it links what you pay directly to the earnings that support each share. Put simply, the higher the expected growth and the lower the perceived risk, the more investors are usually willing to pay in terms of a higher P/E multiple. Union Pacific currently trades on a P/E of 20.8x. That is below the Transportation industry average P/E of about 34.4x and also below the peer group average of 26.1x. To go a step further, Simply Wall St calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for the stock of 25.5x, which reflects factors such as its earnings growth profile, profitability, risks, industry, and market cap. This Fair Ratio can often be more informative than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry because it aims to tailor the expected multiple to Union Pacific’s own fundamentals rather than assuming all rail or transport stocks deserve the same P/E. Setting the Fair Ratio of 25.5x against the current P/E of 20.8x suggests the shares trade below this fair value marker, so they screen as undervalued on this method. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:UNP P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Union Pacific Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple way for you to link your view of Union Pacific’s story to a financial forecast and then to a fair value. You can do this by combining your assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins with an estimated fair value, all within an easy tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page that updates automatically when new information like news or earnings is added. The tool lets you compare that evolving fair value with today’s price to decide whether the stock looks more attractive or fully priced. This is why some investors, looking at Union Pacific’s merger synergies, rail infrastructure and earnings outlook, arrive at higher fair values closer to US$294, while more cautious investors, focused on regulatory and freight risks, sit nearer US$213. Do you think there's more to the story for Union Pacific? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:UNP 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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