超微电脑高光时刻要结束了？高盛喊“卖出”！

金十数据2025-03-25

高盛分析师对超微电脑(SMCI.O)持谨慎态度，并于周一下调其股票评级至“卖出”，警告该公司可能会在人工智能（AI）服务器市场中逐渐失去领先优势。由Michael Ng领导的分析师团队指出，尽管超微电脑(SMCI.O)今年股价大涨，但未来可能会面临下跌风险，主要原因包括竞争加剧、其本就偏低的毛利率承压，以及AI服务器产品的差异化减少。“来自OEM（原始设备制造商）和ODM（原始设计制造商）供应商的...

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Mikinyaa
2025-03-27
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Goldman Sachs shouts \"sell\"!","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"SMCI":1},"content_text":"高盛分析师对超微电脑(SMCI.O)持谨慎态度，并于周一下调其股票评级至“卖出”，警告该公司可能会在人工智能（AI）服务器市场中逐渐失去领先优势。由Michael Ng领导的分析师团队指出，尽管超微电脑(SMCI.O)今年股价大涨，但未来可能会面临下跌风险，主要原因包括竞争加剧、其本就偏低的毛利率承压，以及AI服务器产品的差异化减少。“来自OEM（原始设备制造商）和ODM（原始设计制造商）供应商的竞争加剧，这可能导致产品差异化减少，并加大价格压力。”Ng在给客户的报告中写道。高盛目前对超微电脑的12个月目标价为32美元，较此前的40美元有所下调。新目标价较当前水平低约24%。分析师指出，戴尔(DELL.N)的AI服务器业务收入在2024年增长至90亿美元，相较2023年的20亿美元大幅提升，并预计2025年将超过150亿美元。此外，惠普(HPQ.N)reportedly已获得社交媒体平台X一份价值10亿美元的AI服务器订单。“竞争加剧的风险尤为突出，因为Super Micro在上个季度的收入中，有58%来自仅两家客户。”Ng补充道。Ng的担忧与上周摩根大通分析师表达的观点类似，但他额外指出了对公司未来毛利率的担忧。高盛数据显示，超微电脑的毛利率在2023财年达到峰值约18%，而在2024财年降至13.9%。Ng预测该数据将在2025财年降至12%，并可能在2029财年进一步下滑至11%。由于AI服务器供应增加，超微电脑“已提及因竞争性定价带来的毛利压力。”Ng在报告中表示。他指出，毛利受到了从英伟达(NVDA.O)Hopper平台过渡至最新Blackwell产品线的影响，而这一过渡最初还曾经历延迟。此外，Ng对超微电脑2026财年实现400亿美元收入的预期持怀疑态度。他预测该公司的收入将达到320亿美元，“反映出我们对市场竞争加剧的预期。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-2","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":418094312509680,"gmtCreate":1743085352758,"gmtModify":1743085355108,"author":{"id":"3575534613319772","authorId":"3575534613319772","name":"Mikinyaa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a2c57746358b22078da48731022679c","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575534613319772","idStr":"3575534613319772"},"htmlText":"🤡","listText":"🤡","text":"🤡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/418094312509680","repostId":2522097743,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2522097743","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1742891055,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2522097743?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-03-25 16:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Is the ultra-microcomputer highlight moment coming to an end? Goldman Sachs shouts \"sell\"!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2522097743","media":"金十数据","summary":"高盛分析师对超微电脑持谨慎态度，并于周一下调其股票评级至“卖出”，警告该公司可能会在人工智能服务器市场中逐渐失去领先优势。高盛目前对超微电脑的12个月目标价为32美元，较此前的40美元有所下调。高盛数据显示，超微电脑的毛利率在2023财年达到峰值约18%，而在2024财年降至13.9%。由于AI服务器供应增加，超微电脑“已提及因竞争性定价带来的毛利压力。”此外，Ng对超微电脑2026财年实现400亿美元收入的预期持怀疑态度。","content":"<p><html><body><article><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Analysts' opinions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">Ultra-microcomputer</a>(SMCI.O) was cautious and downgraded its stock to \"sell\" on Monday, warning the company could gradually lose its lead in the artificial intelligence (AI) server market.</p><p>A team of analysts led by Michael Ng pointed out that although the share price of Super Micro Computer (SMCI.O) has surged this year, it may face downside risks in the future.<strong>The main reasons include intensified competition, pressure on its already low gross profit margin, and</strong>The differentiation of AI server products is reduced.</p><p>\"Competition from OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) and ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) suppliers has increased, which could lead to less product differentiation and increased price pressure,\" Ng wrote in a note to customers.</p><p>Goldman's current 12-month price target for ultramicro computers is $32, down from the previous price of $40.<strong>The new price target is about below current levels</strong>24%。</p><p>Analysts pointed out,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a>(DELL.N) 's AI server business revenue will grow to US $9 billion in 2024, a significant increase from US $2 billion in 2023, and is expected to exceed US $15 billion in 2025. Furthermore,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">Hewlett Packard</a>(HPQ.N) reportedly has secured a $1 billion order for AI servers from social media platform X.</p><p>\"The risk of increased competition is particularly acute as Super Micro generated 58% of its revenue in the last quarter from just two customers,\" Ng added.</p><p>Ng's worries and last week<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The analyst expressed a similar view, but he additionally pointed to concerns about the company's future gross margins.</p><p>According to Goldman Sachs data, the gross profit margin of Super Micro Computer peaked at about 18% in fiscal year 2023, while falling to 13.9% in fiscal year 2024.<strong>Ng</strong>It is forecast that this figure will drop to 12% in fiscal 2025 and may slip further to 11% in fiscal 2029.</p><p>As the supply of AI servers increases, ultramicro computers \"have mentioned that competitive pricing brings about<span>GROSS PROFIT</span>Pressure. \" Ng said in the report. He pointed out that gross profit was affected by<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>(NVDA.O) The impact of the transition of the Hopper platform to the latest Blackwell product line, which initially experienced delays.</p><p>Additionally, Ng is skeptical about Super Micro's expectation of $40 billion in revenue in fiscal 2026.<strong>He predicted that the company's revenue would reach</strong>32 billion, \"reflecting our expectations of increased competition in the market.\"</p><p></article></body></html></p>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the ultra-microcomputer highlight moment coming to an end? Goldman Sachs shouts \"sell\"!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the ultra-microcomputer highlight moment coming to an end? Goldman Sachs shouts \"sell\"!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2025-03-25 16:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><article><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Analysts' opinions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">Ultra-microcomputer</a>(SMCI.O) was cautious and downgraded its stock to \"sell\" on Monday, warning the company could gradually lose its lead in the artificial intelligence (AI) server market.</p><p>A team of analysts led by Michael Ng pointed out that although the share price of Super Micro Computer (SMCI.O) has surged this year, it may face downside risks in the future.<strong>The main reasons include intensified competition, pressure on its already low gross profit margin, and</strong>The differentiation of AI server products is reduced.</p><p>\"Competition from OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) and ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) suppliers has increased, which could lead to less product differentiation and increased price pressure,\" Ng wrote in a note to customers.</p><p>Goldman's current 12-month price target for ultramicro computers is $32, down from the previous price of $40.<strong>The new price target is about below current levels</strong>24%。</p><p>Analysts pointed out,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a>(DELL.N) 's AI server business revenue will grow to US $9 billion in 2024, a significant increase from US $2 billion in 2023, and is expected to exceed US $15 billion in 2025. Furthermore,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">Hewlett Packard</a>(HPQ.N) reportedly has secured a $1 billion order for AI servers from social media platform X.</p><p>\"The risk of increased competition is particularly acute as Super Micro generated 58% of its revenue in the last quarter from just two customers,\" Ng added.</p><p>Ng's worries and last week<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The analyst expressed a similar view, but he additionally pointed to concerns about the company's future gross margins.</p><p>According to Goldman Sachs data, the gross profit margin of Super Micro Computer peaked at about 18% in fiscal year 2023, while falling to 13.9% in fiscal year 2024.<strong>Ng</strong>It is forecast that this figure will drop to 12% in fiscal 2025 and may slip further to 11% in fiscal 2029.</p><p>As the supply of AI servers increases, ultramicro computers \"have mentioned that competitive pricing brings about<span>GROSS PROFIT</span>Pressure. \" Ng said in the report. He pointed out that gross profit was affected by<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>(NVDA.O) The impact of the transition of the Hopper platform to the latest Blackwell product line, which initially experienced delays.</p><p>Additionally, Ng is skeptical about Super Micro's expectation of $40 billion in revenue in fiscal 2026.<strong>He predicted that the company's revenue would reach</strong>32 billion, \"reflecting our expectations of increased competition in the market.\"</p><p></article></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025032516241797227192&s=b\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1868837300.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443895.HKD":"abrdn SICAV I -  GLOBAL DYNAMIC DIVIDEND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2237443465.HKD":"abrdn SICAV I -  GLOBAL DYNAMIC DIVIDEND \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","IE0004086264.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443978.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc SGD-H","LU1868836914.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"3\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFXG1179.USD":"BNY MELLON U.S. EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","GS":"高盛","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4543":"AI","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","IE0004091025.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","SMCI":"超微电脑","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU0053671581.USD":"摩根大通美国小盘成长股 A(dist)","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU2237443382.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA USD","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025032516241797227192&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2522097743","content_text":"高盛分析师对超微电脑(SMCI.O)持谨慎态度，并于周一下调其股票评级至“卖出”，警告该公司可能会在人工智能（AI）服务器市场中逐渐失去领先优势。由Michael Ng领导的分析师团队指出，尽管超微电脑(SMCI.O)今年股价大涨，但未来可能会面临下跌风险，主要原因包括竞争加剧、其本就偏低的毛利率承压，以及AI服务器产品的差异化减少。“来自OEM（原始设备制造商）和ODM（原始设计制造商）供应商的竞争加剧，这可能导致产品差异化减少，并加大价格压力。”Ng在给客户的报告中写道。高盛目前对超微电脑的12个月目标价为32美元，较此前的40美元有所下调。新目标价较当前水平低约24%。分析师指出，戴尔(DELL.N)的AI服务器业务收入在2024年增长至90亿美元，相较2023年的20亿美元大幅提升，并预计2025年将超过150亿美元。此外，惠普(HPQ.N)reportedly已获得社交媒体平台X一份价值10亿美元的AI服务器订单。“竞争加剧的风险尤为突出，因为Super Micro在上个季度的收入中，有58%来自仅两家客户。”Ng补充道。Ng的担忧与上周摩根大通分析师表达的观点类似，但他额外指出了对公司未来毛利率的担忧。高盛数据显示，超微电脑的毛利率在2023财年达到峰值约18%，而在2024财年降至13.9%。Ng预测该数据将在2025财年降至12%，并可能在2029财年进一步下滑至11%。由于AI服务器供应增加，超微电脑“已提及因竞争性定价带来的毛利压力。”Ng在报告中表示。他指出，毛利受到了从英伟达(NVDA.O)Hopper平台过渡至最新Blackwell产品线的影响，而这一过渡最初还曾经历延迟。此外，Ng对超微电脑2026财年实现400亿美元收入的预期持怀疑态度。他预测该公司的收入将达到320亿美元，“反映出我们对市场竞争加剧的预期。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"SMCI":1}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; 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