Option Focus | Palantir's $1.61 Million Short Call Combination at $180 Strike Signals Capped Upside, While Deep OTM Put Buying Adds to Bearish Imbalance

Option Witch07:01

Palantir Technologies Inc. ended the session at $179.94, a 3.44% increase.

Large options trades leaned decisively bearish despite the stock's gain. A $1.61 million short call combination at the $180 strike dominated the tape, while a $736,000 deep out-of-the-money put purchase added to the cautious tone. The bulk-order flow showed only $8,500 in bullish premium versus $2.36 million in bearish premium, creating a bearish net imbalance of $2.35 million.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 53.54%, while its IV percentile stands at 20.72%, which places current volatility in the lower end of its recent range and suggests options are relatively cheaply priced rather than expensive. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 0.51, the market’s implied volatility is running below historical realized volatility, indicating option premiums are not demanding a high volatility premium at the moment.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.87.

Large Trades

A CALL short combination with a net credit of $1.61 million was the largest featured trade, structured as a same-direction double-call sale expiring on 2026-08-28 at the 180.0 strike. With PLTR referenced at $179.94, these calls were slightly out-of-the-money at execution, and the trader collected premium upfront through a net credit strategy rather than paying for upside exposure. This kind of short-call combination is typically a premium-collection trade that leans on range-bound or capped price action, implying the seller does not expect a meaningful breakout above $180.0 by expiration. The positioning therefore reads as neutral to mildly bearish, with the trader effectively monetizing elevated upside premium while expressing skepticism about near-term upside follow-through.

A PUT buy worth $736,000 was the other highlighted block, consisting of 2,000 contracts of the 130.0 strike put expiring on 2026-11-20. With the stock at $179.94, the strike sat well out-of-the-money, making this a downside-focused options purchase that requires a substantial drop to become intrinsically valuable. Even so, buying long-dated out-of-the-money puts is a clear bearish expression, whether used as a speculative downside bet or as portfolio protection against a deeper correction over the coming months. The fact that the buyer chose puts rather than a spread suggests a willingness to pay premium for convex downside exposure.

Overall, the bulk-order flow was decisively bearish, with total bullish amount at just $8,500 versus total bearish amount at $2.36 million, leaving a bearish net imbalance of $2.35 million. The directional judgment is clearly negative: the dominant flow was driven by premium collection through upside call selling and direct downside participation through put buying. Taken together, the large-trade profile suggests institutional participants are either hedging against weakness or actively positioning for limited upside and potential downside in PLTR, with very little meaningful bullish conviction showing up in the tape.

Strategy Reference

For traders aligned with the capped-upside view but seeking defined risk, a bear call spread such as selling the 180.0 call and buying a higher strike call could capture premium with limited margin exposure, while those looking to sell premium without a directional bias may consider selling puts at a strike near the 130.0 support area where the recent put buying occurred.

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